5 Reasons Betting on Joe Biden is Not a Smart Bet
An article over on CardPlayer is touting that the gambling world is betting on Joe Biden to win the 2020 Presidential Election in the United States. According to the article, the majority of the money being wagered on the election is going towards Biden.
This is not surprising as many online casino gamblers lean Democrat. However, the election is not as cut and dry as polls might indicate. Today, we will give you a few reasons why you might consider betting on Trump over Biden.
Editors Note: This site does not endorse any political candidate. The writer of this article has clearly stated that he does not support either major party candidate, yet he historically has a good track record of predicting Presidential elections.
Democrats Are Very Divided
While Democrats will claim that they are united to overthrow President Trump in the election, many did not initially support Biden and only are doing so because Bernie Sanders dropped out of the election. In fact, there were many that were advocating electors still voting for him in primaries. Others want people to write him in during the election.
This sharp division led to a number of voters skipping the 2016 election which resulted in a Trump victory. Unfortunately, the same may happen this year. While Democrats are trying to rally the troops, many may choose to skip the election rather than vote for a candidate they don’t want.
Trump Supporters Are Still Mobilized
Republican voters were mobilized in 2016 in a way that hadn’t been seen for several elections. Voters turned out in nearly record numbers for Republicans and lines at polling places were insane. Small town lines that were generally only a handful of people deep saw dozens of people waiting all day. Major cities saw lines hundred and even thousands of people deep.
Trump supporters remain just as mobilized, and perhaps more so than they were four years ago. Their support is sometimes being reported as a cult-like following. The loyalty Trump voters are showing is greater than has been seen in decades. Even Reagan didn’t seem to have such a loyal following.
Don’t Trust the Polls
Nearly every poll being released in the US regarding the election has Biden in a solid lead over Trump. Most see this as a sign that he will easily win. Some are even touting a “Blue Wave” will sweep over the country and Biden will win in a landslide.
One thing that’s being hushed up a lot by news agencies is the fact that Hillary Clinton also led in polls up until and during election day. Polling among voters on election day even suggested she was well ahead, and we saw what happened.
While Trump has a loyal following, there are also many that are afraid to reveal their political leanings due to the backlash that it brings. As such, a number of Trump followers are not revealing their true leanings. Also, some polls are done primarily in Democratic states, such as California. Trump seems to be immune to polls, so don’t put a ton of stock into them.
Questions Around Biden Remain
If Biden were to be elected President, he will be the oldest sitting President in US history. There are many that wonder if he will be able to finish out his term. As such, people then look at his Vice Presidential running mate Kamala Harris as potentially the next President. Unfortunately, for some that hurts him.
Kamala Harris has been a polarizing figure amongst Americans. Some do not like her track record in law enforcement. Others point out that she criticized Biden, up to the point of insinuating that he is a sexual predator. Now she is supporting him. That is not a good look. Others have purely sexist or racist reasons for not liking her. That’s not a popular opinion, but it is an honest one.
As such, some may choose to vote Trump, a third party, or not at all because they do not want President Harris in the White House.
Biden is Not The Slam Dunk Everyone Things He Is
Ultimately, if you are thinking of placing a bet on Joe Biden for the 2020 US Presidential Election, do so realizing that he is not the slam dunk everyone thinks he is. While a number of Americans have a “Dump Trump” mentality for the election, his popularity with his base will help him tremendously on election day.
If Democrats come out in the same numbers they did in 2016, Trump will win again easily. If they mobilize as Republicans did in 2016, Biden will win but it will not be the landslide people predict. In the end, it is likely to be somewhere in the middle. More Democrats may come out, but the question is will they come out in the battleground states that Trump won in 2016.
The election will likely be close once again, and in the end, there is a good chance that Donald Trump is re-elected President. With the election just a couple of weeks away, we will find out soon if this prediction is true. This writer has already put money on Trump to win and expects to win. If you know a sportsbook that’s offering odds on the US Presidential election, now you have some reasons to bet the incumbent.